{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"a": ["2026-09-30", "2026-10-31"], "b": ["2026-10-31", "2026-11-30"], "hit": "b>a", "kind": "two_window", "series": "index_nifty-50"}, "auto_key": "engine-gochara:IN:2026-10:2026-11", "base_rate": "How often the second of two such months does better, from 926 past cases: 47.0%.", "base_rate_method": "every 5th trading day since 2007-09-17: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the second do better? n=926, hits=435; ^NSEI daily closes (Yahoo Finance), only data before this record.", "base_rate_p": 0.4698, "category": "market-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month", "text": "October 2026: net -3 (Saturn 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 from the Moon, unfavourable: departure from one's country, heavy expenditure, ill-will (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -1 (Saturn 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 from the Moon, favourable: acquisition of money, domestic happiness, influential speech (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is November. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "Nifty 50 does better in November 2026 than in October 2026: its % change over November is larger (month-end closes).", "claim_hi": "नवंबर 2026 में भारतीय बाज़ार का मिज़ाज अक्टूबर 2026 से बेहतर: निफ़्टी 50 का महीने भर का बदलाव नवंबर में ज़्यादा।", "confidence": 0.5198, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the engine's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule); computed, not set by hand", "engine": "our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, classical-text corpus 3.2.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "Nifty 50: (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31) > (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30), using the last official close on or before each date.", "id": "P-2026-0001", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T00:41:33+00:00", "method": "v2.1-engine-auto", "miss_if": "Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-30", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"a": ["2026-09-30", "2026-10-31"], "b": ["2026-10-31", "2026-11-30"], "hit": "a>b", "kind": "two_window", "series": "exchange_tsx"}, "auto_key": "engine-gochara:CA:2026-10:2026-11", "base_rate": "How often the first of two such months does better, from 2365 past cases: 52.6%.", "base_rate_method": "every 5th trading day since 1979-06-29: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the first do better? n=2365, hits=1243; ^GSPTSE daily closes (Yahoo Finance), only data before this record.", "base_rate_p": 0.5256, "category": "market-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month", "text": "October 2026: net -1 (Saturn 10 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 from the Moon, favourable: acquisition of money, domestic happiness, influential speech (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -3 (Saturn 10 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is October. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "S&P/TSX Composite does better in October 2026 than in November 2026: its % change over October is larger (month-end closes).", "claim_hi": "अक्टूबर 2026 में कनाडा के बाज़ार का मिज़ाज नवंबर 2026 से बेहतर: TSX कंपोज़िट का महीने भर का बदलाव अक्टूबर में ज़्यादा।", "confidence": 0.5756, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the engine's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule); computed, not set by hand", "engine": "our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, classical-text corpus 3.2.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "S&P/TSX Composite: (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30) > (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31), using the last official close on or before each date.", "id": "P-2026-0002", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T00:41:37+00:00", "method": "v2.1-engine-auto", "miss_if": "Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-30", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"a": ["2026-09-30", "2026-10-31"], "b": ["2026-10-31", "2026-11-30"], "hit": "a>b", "kind": "two_window", "series": "var_ftse"}, "auto_key": "engine-gochara:GB:2026-10:2026-11", "base_rate": "How often the first of two such months does better, from 2151 past cases: 52.9%.", "base_rate_method": "every 5th trading day since 1984-01-03: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the first do better? n=2151, hits=1139; ^FTSE daily closes (Yahoo Finance), only data before this record.", "base_rate_p": 0.5295, "category": "market-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "United Kingdom 1 Jan 1801 00:00 LMT London (grade A)", "technique": "engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month", "text": "October 2026: net -1 (Saturn 10 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 from the Moon, favourable: acquisition of money, domestic happiness, influential speech (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -3 (Saturn 10 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is October. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8."}, "chart_id": "GB", "claim_en": "FTSE 100 does better in October 2026 than in November 2026: its % change over October is larger (month-end closes).", "claim_hi": "अक्टूबर 2026 में ब्रिटेन के बाज़ार का मिज़ाज नवंबर 2026 से बेहतर: FTSE 100 का महीने भर का बदलाव अक्टूबर में ज़्यादा।", "confidence": 0.5795, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the engine's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule); computed, not set by hand", "engine": "our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, classical-text corpus 3.2.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "FTSE 100: (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30) > (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31), using the last official close on or before each date.", "id": "P-2026-0003", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T00:41:42+00:00", "method": "v2.1-engine-auto", "miss_if": "Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "GB", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-30", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"a": ["2026-09-30", "2026-10-31"], "b": ["2026-10-31", "2026-11-30"], "hit": "a>b", "kind": "two_window", "series": "var_shanghai"}, "auto_key": "engine-gochara:CN:2026-10:2026-11", "base_rate": "How often the first of two such months does better, from 1409 past cases: 50.7%.", "base_rate_method": "every 5th trading day since 1997-07-02: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the first do better? n=1409, hits=714; 000001.SS daily closes (Yahoo Finance), only data before this record.", "base_rate_p": 0.5067, "category": "market-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "China 1 Oct 1949 15:00 CST Beijing (grade A)", "technique": "engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month", "text": "October 2026: net +1 (Saturn 3 from the Moon, favourable: position or employment, servants, gain of money (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 from the Moon, favourable: auspicious travel, happiness of wife, blessing of a child (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss of wealth (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -1 (Saturn 3 from the Moon, favourable: position or employment, servants, gain of money (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 8 from the Moon, unfavourable: fatigue from wearisome journey, bad luck, loss of money, misery (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss of wealth (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is October. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8."}, "chart_id": "CN", "claim_en": "Shanghai Composite does better in October 2026 than in November 2026: its % change over October is larger (month-end closes).", "claim_hi": "अक्टूबर 2026 में चीन के बाज़ार का मिज़ाज नवंबर 2026 से बेहतर: शंघाई कंपोज़िट का महीने भर का बदलाव अक्टूबर में ज़्यादा।", "confidence": 0.5567, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the engine's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule); computed, not set by hand", "engine": "our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, classical-text corpus 3.2.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "Shanghai Composite: (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30) > (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31), using the last official close on or before each date.", "id": "P-2026-0004", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T00:41:46+00:00", "method": "v2.1-engine-auto", "miss_if": "Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-30", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"a": ["2026-09-30", "2026-10-31"], "b": ["2026-10-31", "2026-11-30"], "hit": "b>a", "kind": "two_window", "series": "var_spx"}, "auto_key": "engine-gochara:US:2026-10:2026-11", "base_rate": "How often the second of two such months does better, from 2853 past cases: 47.4%.", "base_rate_method": "every 5th trading day since 1970-01-02: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the second do better? n=2853, hits=1352; ^GSPC daily closes (Yahoo Finance), only data before this record.", "base_rate_p": 0.4739, "category": "market-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "USA 4 Jul 1776 17:10 LMT Philadelphia (grade X)", "technique": "engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month", "text": "October 2026: net -3 (Saturn 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 6 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -1 (Saturn 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 from the Moon, favourable: auspicious travel, happiness of wife, blessing of a child (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is November. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8."}, "chart_id": "US", "claim_en": "S&P 500 does better in November 2026 than in October 2026: its % change over November is larger (month-end closes).", "claim_hi": "नवंबर 2026 में अमेरिकी बाज़ार का मिज़ाज अक्टूबर 2026 से बेहतर: S&P 500 का महीने भर का बदलाव नवंबर में ज़्यादा।", "confidence": 0.5239, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the engine's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule); computed, not set by hand", "engine": "our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, classical-text corpus 3.2.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "S&P 500: (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31) > (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30), using the last official close on or before each date.", "id": "P-2026-0005", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T00:41:51+00:00", "method": "v2.1-engine-auto", "miss_if": "Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "US", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-30", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "The October WEO raised India's current-year projection above the July figure in 4 of 15 years (2014, 2016, 2023, 2025).", "base_rate_method": "IMF July WEO Update vs October WEO, India current fiscal year, 2011-2025, n=15 (research/fields/imf.json; IMF Table 1 / Table 1.1 PDFs).", "base_rate_p": 0.2667, "category": "economy-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "transit (Jupiter) over the natal Sun, with ashtakavarga", "text": "Exalted Jupiter, India's 11th lord (gains), reaches India's natal Sun (the state) around 17 Oct, the week the WEO is due (Annual Meetings 12-18 Oct). BPHS ch. 65 (transit judged through ashtakavarga); Jupiter as karaka of wealth and growth (BPHS ch. 3). Against: Jupiter's own bindus in Cancer are only 4, and Jupiter in the 1st from the Moon is not a favoured position (Phaladeepika ch. 26)."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "The IMF's October 2026 World Economic Outlook raises India's growth projection for FY2026/27 above the July figure of 6.4%.", "claim_hi": "IMF की अक्टूबर 2026 की विश्व आर्थिक रिपोर्ट (WEO) भारत का 2026-27 का विकास अनुमान जुलाई के 6.4% से ऊपर करेगी।", "claim_key": "imf-weo-2026-10-IN", "confidence": 0.3167, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the reading's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule)", "corr_group": "imf-weo-2026-10", "engine": "hand-read by the research session from charts computed by our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "India's FY2026/27 projection in the October 2026 WEO (Table 1.1, or the IMF's WEO database) is above 6.4%.", "id": "P-2026-0006", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T12:20:43+00:00", "method": "hand-read", "miss_if": "It is 6.4% or lower. Void if the October 2026 WEO is not published by 25 Oct 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-10-25", "start": "2026-10-05"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "The October WEO did not raise Canada's current-year projection above July in 12 of 15 years.", "base_rate_method": "IMF July WEO Update vs October WEO, Canada current year, 2011-2025, n=15 (research/fields/imf.json).", "base_rate_p": 0.8, "category": "economy-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "dasha, and a transit over the dasha lord", "text": "Canada runs Saturn mahadasha / Mercury antardasha / Saturn pratyantar: restraint and slowness (BPHS ch. 3, Saturn the karaka of delay). Debilitated Mars, with only 2 bindus, crosses natal Mercury (the antardasha lord and 7th lord, trade partners) on 9-10 Oct (BPHS ch. 65-66). Against: transit Saturn in Canada's lagna has 5 bindus, which softens the reading."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "In the same October 2026 WEO, Canada's 2026 growth projection is not raised above the July figure of 1.1%.", "claim_hi": "उसी IMF रिपोर्ट में कनाडा का 2026 का विकास अनुमान जुलाई के 1.1% से ऊपर नहीं जाएगा।", "claim_key": "imf-weo-2026-10-CA", "confidence": 0.85, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the reading's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule)", "corr_group": "imf-weo-2026-10", "engine": "hand-read by the research session from charts computed by our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "Canada's 2026 projection in the October 2026 WEO is 1.1% or lower.", "id": "P-2026-0007", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T12:20:43+00:00", "method": "hand-read", "miss_if": "It is above 1.1%. Void if the October 2026 WEO is not published by 25 Oct 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-10-25", "start": "2026-10-05"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "Crowd-priced: Polymarket about 77% for a 25 bp hike (thin market); a Reuters poll of 18-28 Sep had 35 of 61 economists (57%) expecting the hike. Current repo rate 5.25%.", "base_rate_method": "Polymarket 'Reserve Bank of India decision in October' price on 28-29 Sep 2026, cross-checked with the Reuters poll (18-28 Sep, n=61); sources in research/fields/policy.json.", "base_rate_p": 0.77, "category": "policy-tempo", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "pratyantar dasha against the crowd", "text": "India runs Mars mahadasha / Rahu antardasha / Ketu pratyantar until 10 Oct. Ketu signifies withdrawal and holding back (BPHS ch. 3), so the reading leans to a hold, against the crowd. Untested rule, so it moves the crowd's number down by the 0.05 cap only."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "7 Oct 2026: the Reserve Bank of India raises the repo rate by 25 basis points, to 5.50%.", "claim_hi": "7 अक्टूबर 2026: भारतीय रिज़र्व बैंक रेपो दर 25 बेसिस पॉइंट बढ़ाकर 5.50% करेगा।", "claim_key": "rbi-2026-10-07", "confidence": 0.72, "confidence_method": "crowd price - 0.05 in the reading's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule)", "corr_group": "rbi-2026-10", "crowd": {"date": "2026-09-29", "platform": "Polymarket", "prob": 0.77}, "engine": "hand-read by the research session from charts computed by our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "The RBI Monetary Policy Committee statement of 7 Oct 2026 sets the policy repo rate at 5.50%.", "id": "P-2026-0008", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T12:20:43+00:00", "method": "hand-read", "miss_if": "Any other outcome (a hold, or a different size). Void if the decision falls outside 5-9 Oct 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-10-07", "start": "2026-10-05"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "Crowd-priced: Polymarket about 60% 'no change' (29 Sep 2026; rate swaps imply about 44%). Over 2010-Sep 2026 the Bank held at 104 of 134 scheduled decisions (78%).", "base_rate_method": "Polymarket 'Bank of Canada Decision in October?' price, 29 Sep 2026 (volume about $121K); OIS-implied 44% and the 2010-2026 hold frequency (104/134) recorded for context; sources in research/fields/policy.json.", "base_rate_p": 0.6, "category": "policy-tempo", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "dasha, and a transit over the dasha lord", "text": "Canada runs Saturn mahadasha / Mercury antardasha / Saturn pratyantar: restraint and delay (BPHS ch. 3, Saturn the karaka of delay), which leans to no change. Weak Mars (2 bindus) crosses the antardasha lord Mercury on 9-10 Oct (BPHS ch. 65-66). Untested rule, so it moves the crowd's number by the 0.05 cap only."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "28 Oct 2026: the Bank of Canada leaves its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%.", "claim_hi": "28 अक्टूबर 2026: बैंक ऑफ़ कनाडा अपनी नीतिगत ब्याज दर 2.25% पर बिना बदलाव के रखेगा।", "claim_key": "boc-2026-10-28", "confidence": 0.65, "confidence_method": "crowd price + 0.05 in the reading's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule)", "corr_group": "boc-2026-10", "crowd": {"date": "2026-09-29", "platform": "Polymarket", "prob": 0.6}, "engine": "hand-read by the research session from charts computed by our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "The Bank of Canada's 28 Oct 2026 announcement keeps the target for the overnight rate at 2.25%.", "id": "P-2026-0009", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T12:22:02+00:00", "method": "hand-read", "miss_if": "Any change. Void if the announcement moves outside 26-30 Oct 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-10-28", "start": "2026-10-12"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"a": "2026-10-09", "b": "2026-10-16", "hit": "b>a", "kind": "level_vs", "series": "var_indiavix"}, "base_rate": "India VIX closed higher 7 days later in 46.2% of past cases.", "base_rate_method": "every 5th trading day since 2008-03-03: was the close 7 days later higher? n=909, hits=420; ^INDIAVIX daily closes (Yahoo Finance), only data before this record.", "base_rate_p": 0.462, "category": "market-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "transit over a natal graha, and the dasha", "text": "Debilitated Mars (in Cancer) crosses India's natal Mercury (lord of the 2nd, wealth; karaka of trade) on 12 Oct, and India's lagna lord Venus is retrograde from 3 Oct. BPHS ch. 3 (Mercury the karaka of trade); a malefic transiting a natal graha disturbs its significations (Phaladeepika ch. 26). Mars has 4 bindus in Cancer (neutral), so the signal is modest."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "12-16 Oct 2026: a more cautious mood in Indian markets. India VIX closes higher on Fri 16 Oct than on Fri 9 Oct.", "claim_hi": "12-16 अक्टूबर 2026: भारतीय बाज़ार में सतर्कता बढ़ेगी। शुक्रवार 16 अक्टूबर को India VIX, शुक्रवार 9 अक्टूबर से ऊँचा बंद होगा।", "claim_key": "indiavix-2026-10-16", "confidence": 0.512, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the reading's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule)", "corr_group": "markets-2026-10-wk42", "engine": "hand-read by the research session from charts computed by our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "NSE India VIX official close on 16 Oct 2026 is above its close on 9 Oct 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0010", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T12:22:02+00:00", "method": "hand-read", "miss_if": "Equal or lower.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-10-16", "start": "2026-10-12"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"a": "2026-10-09", "b": "2026-12-31", "hit": "first>second", "kind": "relative", "series": ["var_shanghai", "var_spx"]}, "base_rate": "Shanghai beat the S&P over a window of this length in 40.8% of past cases.", "base_rate_method": "every 5th trading day since 1997-07-02: did var_shanghai beat var_spx over the next 83 calendar days? n=1359, hits=555; 000001.SS and ^GSPC daily closes (Yahoo Finance), only data before this record.", "base_rate_p": 0.4084, "category": "market-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "China 1 Oct 1949 15:00 CST Beijing (grade A); USA 4 Jul 1776 17:10 LMT Philadelphia (grade X)", "technique": "gochara from each nation's Moon sign", "text": "Phaladeepika ch. 26: Jupiter favourable in the 2nd, 5th, 7th, 9th and 11th from the Moon; Saturn and Rahu in the 3rd, 6th and 11th. On 1 Oct 2026 China (Moon in Capricorn) scores +1 (Jupiter 7th, Saturn 3rd); the USA (Moon in Aquarius) scores -4 (Saturn 2nd, which is sade sati, Rahu 1st, Jupiter 6th). Our 10-year back-test of this rule on 7 national indices found no reliable edge (Spearman 0.045, p=0.19, 280 nation-quarters), so this is the live test of that rule."}, "chart_id": "CN", "claim_en": "9 Oct to 31 Dec 2026: the Shanghai Composite does better than the S&P 500 (% change, each in its own currency).", "claim_hi": "9 अक्टूबर से 31 दिसंबर 2026: शंघाई कंपोज़िट, S&P 500 से बेहतर करेगा (अपनी-अपनी मुद्रा में % बदलाव)।", "claim_key": "shanghai-vs-spx-2026-q4", "confidence": 0.4584, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the reading's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule)", "corr_group": "markets-2026-q4", "engine": "hand-read by the research session from charts computed by our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "% change of the Shanghai Composite (000001.SS) from the 9 Oct close to the 31 Dec close is above that of the S&P 500 (^GSPC).", "id": "P-2026-0011", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T12:22:02+00:00", "method": "hand-read", "miss_if": "Equal or lower.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CN,US", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-12-31", "start": "2026-10-12"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "In 55.4% of past 80-day windows (2006-2026) there was no cabinet change.", "base_rate_method": "Weekly sliding 80-day windows from Mar 2006 to Jul 2026 (n=1050) against 53 dated cabinet changes from the 28th-30th Canadian Ministry pages (research/fields/policy.json).", "base_rate_p": 0.5543, "category": "leader-activity", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "dasha of the national chart", "text": "Read from Canada's national chart only, no person named. Canada runs Saturn mahadasha / Mercury antardasha, with Saturn pratyantar into October: Saturn is steadiness and delay (BPHS ch. 3), and no mahadasha or antardasha change falls in the window, which suggests continuity in the government. Untested rule."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "12 Oct to 31 Dec 2026: no change to Canada's federal cabinet (no minister joins, leaves or changes portfolio).", "claim_hi": "12 अक्टूबर से 31 दिसंबर 2026: कनाडा के संघीय मंत्रिमंडल में कोई बदलाव नहीं होगा (न कोई मंत्री आएगा, न जाएगा, न विभाग बदलेगा)।", "claim_key": "canada-cabinet-2026-q4", "confidence": 0.6043, "confidence_method": "base rate + 0.05 in the reading's direction (Method v2 cap for an untested rule)", "corr_group": "canada-gov-2026-q4", "engine": "hand-read by the research session from charts computed by our engine (Darshan 5.0.0, Lahiri ayanamsa, mean node)", "hit_if": "The federal ministry list (pm.gc.ca / Privy Council Office) shows no change of minister or portfolio dated 12 Oct-31 Dec 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0012", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T12:22:03+00:00", "method": "hand-read", "miss_if": "Any such change in the window.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-12-31", "start": "2026-10-12"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "After the median date in 46.9% of 32 seasons (1994-2025).", "base_rate_method": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca); first qualifying day each season, 1994-2025, n=32; median date 10-26.", "base_rate_p": 0.4688, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1994-2025 seasons is 26 October. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 9 times out of 15 (all seasons: 15 of 32), so the trend points later. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "2026 season: Toronto's first frost (first day with a minimum below 0 °C) comes after 26 October 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: टोरंटो का पहला पाला (पहला दिन जब न्यूनतम तापमान 0 °C से नीचे) 26 अक्टूबर के बाद 2026 पड़ेगा।", "claim_key": "tor-first-frost-2026", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-CA-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca)", "hit_if": "Per Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca): the first such day of the 2026 season falls after 26 October 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0013", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:32+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 26 October 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-10-27", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "On or before the median date in 53.1% of 32 seasons (1994-2025).", "base_rate_method": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca); first qualifying day each season, 1994-2025, n=32; median date 11-19.", "base_rate_p": 0.5312, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1994-2025 seasons is 19 November. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 6 times out of 15 (all seasons: 15 of 32), so the trend points earlier. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "2026 season: Toronto's first measurable snowfall (0.2 cm or more) comes on or before 19 November 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: टोरंटो की पहली नापने लायक बर्फ़ (0.2 सेमी या अधिक) 19 नवंबर को या उससे पहले 2026 गिरेगी।", "claim_key": "tor-first-snow-2026", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-CA-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca)", "hit_if": "Per Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca): the first such day of the 2026 season falls on or before 19 November 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0014", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:32+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 19 November 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-20", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "After the median date in 50.0% of 30 seasons (1995-2024).", "base_rate_method": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature; first qualifying day each season, 1995-2024, n=30; median date 11-02.", "base_rate_p": 0.5, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1995-2024 seasons is 2 November. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 9 times out of 15 (all seasons: 15 of 30), so the trend points later. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "2026 season: Delhi's first night below 15 °C comes after 2 November 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: दिल्ली की पहली रात 15 °C से नीचे 2 नवंबर के बाद 2026 आएगी।", "claim_key": "del-first-below15-2026", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-IN-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature", "hit_if": "Per NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature: the first such day of the 2026 season falls after 2 November 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0015", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:32+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 2 November 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-03", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "On or before the median date in 53.3% of 30 seasons (1995-2024).", "base_rate_method": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature; first qualifying day each season, 1995-2024, n=30; median date 11-23.", "base_rate_p": 0.5333, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1995-2024 seasons is 23 November. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 7 times out of 15 (all seasons: 14 of 30), so the trend points earlier. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "2026 season: Delhi's first night below 10 °C comes on or before 23 November 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: दिल्ली की पहली रात 10 °C से नीचे 23 नवंबर को या उससे पहले 2026 आएगी।", "claim_key": "del-first-below10-2026", "confidence": 0.5333, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-IN-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature", "hit_if": "Per NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature: the first such day of the 2026 season falls on or before 23 November 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0016", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:33+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 23 November 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-24", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "After the median date in 46.9% of 32 seasons (1994-2025).", "base_rate_method": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca); first qualifying day each season, 1994-2025, n=32; median date 10-26.", "base_rate_p": 0.4688, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1994-2025 seasons is 26 October. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 9 times out of 15 (all seasons: 15 of 32), so the trend points later. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "2026 season: Toronto's first frost (first day with a minimum below 0 °C) comes after 26 October 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: टोरंटो का पहला पाला (पहला दिन जब न्यूनतम तापमान 0 °C से नीचे) 26 अक्टूबर 2026 के बाद पड़ेगा।", "claim_key": "tor-first-frost-2026-v2", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-CA-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca)", "hit_if": "Per Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca): the first such day of the 2026 season falls after 26 October 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0017", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:49+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 26 October 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-10-27", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "On or before the median date in 53.1% of 32 seasons (1994-2025).", "base_rate_method": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca); first qualifying day each season, 1994-2025, n=32; median date 11-19.", "base_rate_p": 0.5312, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1994-2025 seasons is 19 November. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 6 times out of 15 (all seasons: 15 of 32), so the trend points earlier. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "2026 season: Toronto's first measurable snowfall (0.2 cm or more) comes on or before 19 November 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: टोरंटो की पहली नापने लायक बर्फ़ (0.2 सेमी या अधिक) 19 नवंबर 2026 को या उससे पहले गिरेगी।", "claim_key": "tor-first-snow-2026-v2", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-CA-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca)", "hit_if": "Per Environment and Climate Change Canada daily data, Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate.weather.gc.ca): the first such day of the 2026 season falls on or before 19 November 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0018", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:49+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 19 November 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-20", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "After the median date in 50.0% of 30 seasons (1995-2024).", "base_rate_method": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature; first qualifying day each season, 1995-2024, n=30; median date 11-02.", "base_rate_p": 0.5, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1995-2024 seasons is 2 November. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 9 times out of 15 (all seasons: 15 of 30), so the trend points later. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "2026 season: Delhi's first night below 15 °C comes after 2 November 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: दिल्ली की पहली रात 15 °C से नीचे 2 नवंबर 2026 के बाद आएगी।", "claim_key": "del-first-below15-2026-v2", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-IN-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature", "hit_if": "Per NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature: the first such day of the 2026 season falls after 2 November 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0019", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:49+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 2 November 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-03", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "On or before the median date in 53.3% of 30 seasons (1995-2024).", "base_rate_method": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature; first qualifying day each season, 1995-2024, n=30; median date 11-23.", "base_rate_p": 0.5333, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Median date over 1995-2024 seasons is 23 November. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 7 times out of 15 (all seasons: 14 of 30), so the trend points earlier. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "2026 season: Delhi's first night below 10 °C comes on or before 23 November 2026.", "claim_hi": "2026 का मौसम: दिल्ली की पहली रात 10 °C से नीचे 23 नवंबर 2026 को या उससे पहले आएगी।", "claim_key": "del-first-below10-2026-v2", "confidence": 0.5333, "confidence_method": "share of the last 15 seasons on this side of the median (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-IN-2026", "engine": "data model (climatology + 15-season trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature", "hit_if": "Per NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature: the first such day of the 2026 season falls on or before 23 November 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0020", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T15:12:49+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "The first such day falls on the other side of 23 November 2026.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-24", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "Oct collections grew 5% or more year on year in 5 of 7 years (2019-2025).", "base_rate_method": "Reported YoY growth of the Oct gross GST collection, 2019-2025, n=7 (PIB releases and news; research/fields/festival_space.json). 2018 releases gave no YoY figure.", "base_rate_p": 0.7143, "category": "economy-mood", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Oct YoY growth was 5% or more in 5 of 7 years (2019-2025). FY2026-27 so far: Apr +8.7%, May +3.2%, Jun +13.9%, Jul +15.4%, Aug +14.8%, so 4 of 5 months at 5% or more. The Oct 2025 base was weak (after the Sept 2025 rate cuts), which helps. Resolves on the growth figure as reported, since the base has excluded compensation cess from the Nov 2025 release onward."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "India's gross GST collection for October 2026 (released around 1 Nov) shows year-on-year growth of 5% or more.", "claim_hi": "भारत का अक्टूबर 2026 का सकल GST संग्रह (लगभग 1 Nov को जारी) पिछले साल से 5% या उससे ज़्यादा बढ़ेगा।", "claim_key": "gst-oct-2026", "confidence": 0.8, "confidence_method": "share of FY2026-27 months so far (Apr-Aug) with YoY >= 5% (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "gst-2026-q4", "engine": "data model (history + current-year trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "PIB / GST portal monthly release", "hit_if": "The official release (PIB / GST portal data sheet) reports gross GST YoY growth of 5.0% or more for Oct 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0021", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T23:23:00+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "Reported growth below 5.0%. Void if no official figure is released by the window's end.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-05", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "base_rate": "Nov collections grew 5% or more year on year in 5 of 7 years (2019-2025).", "base_rate_method": "Reported YoY growth of the Nov gross GST collection, 2019-2025, n=7 (PIB releases and news; research/fields/festival_space.json). 2018 releases gave no YoY figure.", "base_rate_p": 0.7143, "category": "festival-collective", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "Nov YoY growth was 5% or more in 5 of 7 years (2019-2025). FY2026-27 so far: Apr +8.7%, May +3.2%, Jun +13.9%, Jul +15.4%, Aug +14.8%, so 4 of 5 months at 5% or more. The Nov 2025 base was weak (after the Sept 2025 rate cuts), which helps. Resolves on the growth figure as reported, since the base has excluded compensation cess from the Nov 2025 release onward."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "India's gross GST collection for November 2026 (released around 1 Dec) shows year-on-year growth of 5% or more. November collections carry the Navratri-Dussehra-Diwali spending of Oct-Nov 2026.", "claim_hi": "भारत का नवंबर 2026 का सकल GST संग्रह (लगभग 1 Dec को जारी) पिछले साल से 5% या उससे ज़्यादा बढ़ेगा। नवंबर के संग्रह में नवरात्रि-दशहरा-दिवाली की ख़रीदारी दिखती है।", "claim_key": "gst-nov-2026", "confidence": 0.8, "confidence_method": "share of FY2026-27 months so far (Apr-Aug) with YoY >= 5% (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "gst-2026-q4", "engine": "data model (history + current-year trend), no astrological input", "grade_source": "PIB / GST portal monthly release", "hit_if": "The official release (PIB / GST portal data sheet) reports gross GST YoY growth of 5.0% or more for Nov 2026.", "id": "P-2026-0022", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-29T23:23:00+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "Reported growth below 5.0%. Void if no official figure is released by the window's end.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-12-05", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"hit": "above", "kind": "openmeteo_month_mean", "lat": 28.58, "lon": 77.21, "month": 10, "threshold": 25.4075, "year": 2026}, "base_rate": "Above the normal in 54.8% of 31 years (1995-2025).", "base_rate_method": "ERA5 daily mean temperature via the Open-Meteo archive at 28.58, 77.21; October means 1995-2025, n=31; normal = 1995-2024 mean.", "base_rate_p": 0.5484, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "October was above its 1995-2024 average in 17 of 31 years (1995-2025) and in 6 of the last 10, so the trend says warmer. Data only; the engine's astrological reading of the season will be logged separately when its weather rules exist."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "October 2026: Delhi is warmer than its usual October (monthly mean temperature vs the 1995-2024 average of 25.4 °C).", "claim_hi": "अक्टूबर 2026: दिल्ली अपने सामान्य अक्टूबर से ज़्यादा गर्म रहेगा (महीने का औसत तापमान, 1995-2024 का औसत 25.4 °C)।", "claim_key": "wx-month-mean:delhi:2026-10", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 10 years on this side of the normal (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-IN-2026-10", "engine": "world engine data model (climatology + 10-year trend), no astrological input", "hit_if": "Delhi's October 2026 mean of daily mean temperature (ERA5 via the Open-Meteo archive, 28.58, 77.21) is above 25.41 °C.", "id": "P-2026-0023", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-30T00:09:03+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "It is at or below 25.41 °C.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-07", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"hit": "at_or_below", "kind": "openmeteo_month_mean", "lat": 19.09, "lon": 72.87, "month": 10, "threshold": 27.5937, "year": 2026}, "base_rate": "At or below the normal in 51.6% of 31 years (1995-2025).", "base_rate_method": "ERA5 daily mean temperature via the Open-Meteo archive at 19.09, 72.87; October means 1995-2025, n=31; normal = 1995-2024 mean.", "base_rate_p": 0.5161, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "October was above its 1995-2024 average in 15 of 31 years (1995-2025) and in 3 of the last 10, so the trend says not warmer. Data only; the engine's astrological reading of the season will be logged separately when its weather rules exist."}, "chart_id": "IN", "claim_en": "October 2026: Mumbai is not warmer than its usual October (monthly mean temperature vs the 1995-2024 average of 27.6 °C).", "claim_hi": "अक्टूबर 2026: मुंबई अपने सामान्य अक्टूबर से ज़्यादा गर्म नहीं रहेगा (महीने का औसत तापमान, 1995-2024 का औसत 27.6 °C)।", "claim_key": "wx-month-mean:mumbai:2026-10", "confidence": 0.7, "confidence_method": "share of the last 10 years on this side of the normal (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-IN-2026-10", "engine": "world engine data model (climatology + 10-year trend), no astrological input", "hit_if": "Mumbai's October 2026 mean of daily mean temperature (ERA5 via the Open-Meteo archive, 19.09, 72.87) is at or below 27.59 °C.", "id": "P-2026-0024", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-30T00:09:03+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "It is above 27.59 °C.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "IN", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-07", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"hit": "above", "kind": "openmeteo_month_mean", "lat": 43.68, "lon": -79.63, "month": 10, "threshold": 10.8041, "year": 2026}, "base_rate": "Above the normal in 45.2% of 31 years (1995-2025).", "base_rate_method": "ERA5 daily mean temperature via the Open-Meteo archive at 43.68, -79.63; October means 1995-2025, n=31; normal = 1995-2024 mean.", "base_rate_p": 0.4516, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "October was above its 1995-2024 average in 14 of 31 years (1995-2025) and in 6 of the last 10, so the trend says warmer. Data only; the engine's astrological reading of the season will be logged separately when its weather rules exist."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "October 2026: Toronto is warmer than its usual October (monthly mean temperature vs the 1995-2024 average of 10.8 °C).", "claim_hi": "अक्टूबर 2026: टोरंटो अपने सामान्य अक्टूबर से ज़्यादा गर्म रहेगा (महीने का औसत तापमान, 1995-2024 का औसत 10.8 °C)।", "claim_key": "wx-month-mean:toronto:2026-10", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 10 years on this side of the normal (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-CA-2026-10", "engine": "world engine data model (climatology + 10-year trend), no astrological input", "hit_if": "Toronto's October 2026 mean of daily mean temperature (ERA5 via the Open-Meteo archive, 43.68, -79.63) is above 10.80 °C.", "id": "P-2026-0025", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-30T00:09:03+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "It is at or below 10.80 °C.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-07", "start": "2026-10-01"}}
{"approved_by": "auto: standing delegation from raj, 28 Sep 2026 (guardrails and launch rules enforced in code)", "auto_grade": {"hit": "above", "kind": "openmeteo_month_mean", "lat": 49.19, "lon": -123.18, "month": 10, "threshold": 10.7449, "year": 2026}, "base_rate": "Above the normal in 51.6% of 31 years (1995-2025).", "base_rate_method": "ERA5 daily mean temperature via the Open-Meteo archive at 49.19, -123.18; October means 1995-2025, n=31; normal = 1995-2024 mean.", "base_rate_p": 0.5161, "category": "weather", "chart_basis": {"chart": "Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa (grade A)", "technique": "data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)", "text": "October was above its 1995-2024 average in 16 of 31 years (1995-2025) and in 6 of the last 10, so the trend says warmer. Data only; the engine's astrological reading of the season will be logged separately when its weather rules exist."}, "chart_id": "CA", "claim_en": "October 2026: Vancouver is warmer than its usual October (monthly mean temperature vs the 1995-2024 average of 10.7 °C).", "claim_hi": "अक्टूबर 2026: वैंकूवर अपने सामान्य अक्टूबर से ज़्यादा गर्म रहेगा (महीने का औसत तापमान, 1995-2024 का औसत 10.7 °C)।", "claim_key": "wx-month-mean:vancouver:2026-10", "confidence": 0.6, "confidence_method": "share of the last 10 years on this side of the normal (trend model); data only, no astrological input", "corr_group": "weather-CA-2026-10", "engine": "world engine data model (climatology + 10-year trend), no astrological input", "hit_if": "Vancouver's October 2026 mean of daily mean temperature (ERA5 via the Open-Meteo archive, 49.19, -123.18) is above 10.74 °C.", "id": "P-2026-0026", "information": "informative", "made_at": "2026-09-30T00:09:03+00:00", "method": "data", "miss_if": "It is at or below 10.74 °C.", "status": "open", "subject": "country", "subject_ref": "CA", "visibility": "public", "window": {"end": "2026-11-07", "start": "2026-10-01"}}