Research file · P-2026-0002

S&P/TSX Composite does better in October 2026 than in November 2026: its % change over October is larger (month-end closes).

अक्टूबर 2026 में कनाडा के बाज़ार का मिज़ाज नवंबर 2026 से बेहतर: TSX कंपोज़िट का महीने भर का बदलाव अक्टूबर में ज़्यादा।

Written 2026-09-29T00:41:37+00:00 · window 2026-10-01 → 2026-11-30 · method v2.1-engine-auto · file built 2026-09-29T00:41:39+00:00

2–3 · Charts and what the engine says

Canada

Chart: 1867-07-01 00:00 UTC-5.04648 · Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa · grade A

Sources: charts.json

Daśā now: Saturn/Mercury · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 249 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_CA.json sha256 2d33b16aa0de2464…

Domain	for now	against now	natal net	lead for	lead against
wealth	0	0	27	Saturn's period from its exaltation brings wisdom and wealth together; HS 15.12	The lord of wealth in the sixth, eighth or twelfth: finances decline BPHS 13.1-2
status_recognition	0	0	28	The lord of the fifth in the fourth: happy, blessed in the mother, wea BPHS 24.52	Malefics in the bad houses are read by the texts for expulsion from yo HS 24.18
profession	0	0	-2		Duryoga: labour that bears no fruit, little public standing, a self-ce PD 6.67
general_fortune	0	0	6	A planet stands with the lord of the fifth — its period is favourable; BPHS 48.10
penury	0	0	-17	Jupiter's aspect on an angle, the Moon or Venus cancels the combinatio JP 7.80	The lord of the second in the twelfth or sixth: loss of wealth JP 11.60
legal	0	0	-3		[withheld: harm topic] JS 1.3.8
relocation	0	0	-1		A wanderer from country to country BPHS 23.11
Month	Daśā	Gochara net	Transits from the Moon
2026-09	Saturn/Mercury/Saturn	-1	Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2026-11	Saturn/Mercury/Saturn	-3	Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2026-12	Saturn/Mercury/Saturn	-3	Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-01	Saturn/Ketu/Ketu	-3	Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-02	Saturn/Ketu/Venus	-1	Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-04	Saturn/Ketu/Sun	-1	Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-05	Saturn/Ketu/Moon	-1	Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-06	Saturn/Ketu/Rahu	+1	Saturn 11 ✓ all happiness and wealth, unique honour (PD 26.22-23 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)

4 · From reading to claim

Technique: engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month

October 2026: net -1 (Saturn 10 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 from the Moon, favourable: acquisition of money, domestic happiness, influential speech (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -3 (Saturn 10 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is October. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8.

The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.

5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)

Stated: How often the first of two such months does better, from 2365 past cases: 52.6%.

Computed: 1243/2365 = 52.6% — every 5th trading day since 1979-06-29: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the first do better? · data: data-exchange_tsx.csv (11863 rows, sha256 fa5a9927c7e8…) · symbols ^GSPTSE (Yahoo Finance)

6 · Crowd and context

Crowd: no matching crowd market

7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)

Canada 2026-09: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
Canada 2026-09: Rahu 9 from the Moon — loss (PD 26.24)
Canada 2026-11: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
Canada 2026-11: Jupiter 3 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
Canada 2026-11: Rahu 9 from the Moon — loss (PD 26.24)
Canada 2026-12: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
Canada 2026-12: Jupiter 3 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
Canada 2026-12: Rahu 8 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
Canada 2027-01: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
Canada 2027-01: Jupiter 3 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
Canada 2027-01: Rahu 8 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)

8 · Confidence

Stated 58% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 52.6% · edge 0.05

Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.

9 · What decides it

Right if: S&P/TSX Composite: (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30) > (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31), using the last official close on or before each date.

Wrong if: Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).

10 · Integrity

Prediction line sha256: 63c4834f2b3721eb13150aca15b793a86ce5299c9c2d4157b0ba145a11e50f3a