Research file · P-2026-0004

Shanghai Composite does better in October 2026 than in November 2026: its % change over October is larger (month-end closes).

अक्टूबर 2026 में चीन के बाज़ार का मिज़ाज नवंबर 2026 से बेहतर: शंघाई कंपोज़िट का महीने भर का बदलाव अक्टूबर में ज़्यादा।

Written 2026-09-29T00:41:46+00:00 · window 2026-10-01 → 2026-11-30 · method v2.1-engine-auto · file built 2026-09-29T00:41:48+00:00

2–3 · Charts and what the engine says

China

Chart: 1949-10-01 15:00 UTC+8.0 · China 1 Oct 1949 15:00 CST Beijing · grade A

Sources: charts.json

Daśā now: Mercury/Sun · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 281 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_CN.json sha256 80f77089272696a1…

Domain	for now	against now	natal net	lead for	lead against
wealth	8	0	24	Planets in their own signs raise you step by step: one brings honour i BJ 21.1	An afflicted lord of the fourth threatens the family house — ruined or PD 16.14
status_recognition	7	0	36	A benefic in the tenth from the Moon or the ascendant — Amala yoga — k JP 7.118	A planet that would give royal fortune is looked upon by its enemy, or JP 7.55
profession	1	0	5	Venus in the tenth: wide renown, friends, lordship and happy employmen PD 8.19
general_fortune	1	0	4	The lord of the ninth or of the tenth stands with the lord of the fift BPHS 48.9-13
penury	0	4	-16		No gains, however many the efforts BPHS 22.11
legal	0	0	-1		[withheld: harm topic] BJ 23.16
relocation	0	0	-2		The father is absent at the birth JP 3.47
Month	Daśā	Gochara net	Transits from the Moon
2026-09	Mercury/Sun/Ketu	+1	Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 2 ✗ loss of wealth (PD 26.24)
2026-10	Mercury/Sun/Venus	+1	Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 2 ✗ loss of wealth (PD 26.24)
2026-11	Mercury/Sun/Venus	-1	Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 8 ✗ fatigue from wearisome journey, bad luck (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 2 ✗ loss of wealth (PD 26.24)
2026-12	Mercury/Moon/Moon	-1	Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 8 ✗ fatigue from wearisome journey, bad luck (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-01	Mercury/Moon/Mars	-1	Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 8 ✗ fatigue from wearisome journey, bad luck (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-02	Mercury/Moon/Rahu	+1	Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-05	Mercury/Moon/Jupiter	+1	Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-06	Mercury/Moon/Jupiter	-1	Saturn 4 ✗ loss of wife, loss of relations, loss of (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)

4 · From reading to claim

Technique: engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month

October 2026: net +1 (Saturn 3 from the Moon, favourable: position or employment, servants, gain of money (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 from the Moon, favourable: auspicious travel, happiness of wife, blessing of a child (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss of wealth (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -1 (Saturn 3 from the Moon, favourable: position or employment, servants, gain of money (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 8 from the Moon, unfavourable: fatigue from wearisome journey, bad luck, loss of money, misery (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: loss of wealth (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is October. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8.

The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.

5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)

Stated: How often the first of two such months does better, from 1409 past cases: 50.7%.

Computed: 714/1409 = 50.7% — every 5th trading day since 1997-07-02: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the first do better? · data: data-var_shanghai.csv (7084 rows, sha256 d8f0ec3bf102…) · symbols 000001.SS (Yahoo Finance)

6 · Crowd and context

Crowd: no matching crowd market

7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)

China: penury has 4 engine witness(es) against now — lead: No gains, however many the efforts (BPHS 22.11)
China 2026-09: Rahu 2 from the Moon — loss of wealth (PD 26.24)
China 2026-10: Rahu 2 from the Moon — loss of wealth (PD 26.24)
China 2026-11: Jupiter 8 from the Moon — fatigue from wearisome journey, bad luck, loss of money, misery (PD 26.18-20)
China 2026-11: Rahu 2 from the Moon — loss of wealth (PD 26.24)
China 2026-12: Jupiter 8 from the Moon — fatigue from wearisome journey, bad luck, loss of money, misery (PD 26.18-20)
China 2026-12: Rahu 1 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)

8 · Confidence

Stated 56% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 50.7% · edge 0.05

Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.

9 · What decides it

Right if: Shanghai Composite: (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30) > (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31), using the last official close on or before each date.

Wrong if: Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).

10 · Integrity

Prediction line sha256: 078579b154eaf4e6123c25216050bf6c8a1174263a4db1d0885120d53a6105a3