Research file · P-2026-0005
S&P 500 does better in November 2026 than in October 2026: its % change over November is larger (month-end closes).
नवंबर 2026 में अमेरिकी बाज़ार का मिज़ाज अक्टूबर 2026 से बेहतर: S&P 500 का महीने भर का बदलाव नवंबर में ज़्यादा।
Written 2026-09-29T00:41:51+00:00 · window 2026-10-01 → 2026-11-30 · method v2.1-engine-auto · file built 2026-09-29T00:41:54+00:00
2–3 · Charts and what the engine says
USA
Chart: 1776-07-04 17:10 UTC-5.01 · USA 4 Jul 1776 17:10 LMT Philadelphia · grade X
Sources: charts.json
Daśā now: Rahu/Mercury · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 256 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_US.json sha256 ec6918f9a06abfb6…
| Domain | for now | against now | natal net | lead for | lead against |
| wealth | 0 | 0 | 32 | The lord of the third in the eleventh: constant gains in trade, intell BPHS 24.35 | Mars and Saturn here bring losses through brothers JS 1.3.11 |
| status_recognition | 0 | 0 | 23 | The lords of the fifth and sixth in mutual angles form Sankha yoga JP 7.138 | Venus fallen, or in the seventh, eighth or twelfth, undoes the royal c JP 10.29 |
| profession | 0 | 0 | 0 | [withheld: harm topic] UK 6.32.5-33.5 | Duryoga: labour that bears no fruit, little public standing, a self-ce PD 6.67 |
| general_fortune | 0 | 0 | 5 | A lord of the sixth, eighth or twelfth stands with a trine-lord — even BPHS 48.14-17.5 | |
| penury | 0 | 0 | -9 | Jupiter's aspect on an angle, the Moon or Venus cancels the combinatio JP 7.80 | Poverty from birth, so that even food must be begged for BPHS 13.6-7 |
| legal | 0 | 0 | -4 | [withheld: harm topic] JP 5A.4 | |
| relocation | 0 | 0 | -1 | [withheld: harm topic] JP 18.96 | |
| Month | Daśā | Gochara net | Transits from the Moon | ||
| 2026-09 | Rahu/Mercury/Jupiter | -3 | Saturn 2 ✗ trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 6 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2026-10 | Rahu/Mercury/Saturn | -3 | Saturn 2 ✗ trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 6 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2026-11 | Rahu/Mercury/Saturn | -1 | Saturn 2 ✗ trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2026-12 | Rahu/Mercury/Saturn | -1 | Saturn 2 ✗ trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 12 ✗ expenditure (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-02 | Rahu/Mercury/Saturn | -3 | Saturn 2 ✗ trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 6 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 12 ✗ expenditure (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-03 | Rahu/Ketu/Venus | -3 | Saturn 2 ✗ trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 6 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 12 ✗ expenditure (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-06 | Rahu/Ketu/Moon | -1 | Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 6 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 12 ✗ expenditure (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-07 | Rahu/Ketu/Mars | +1 | Saturn 3 ✓ position or employment, servants, gain o (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 ✓ auspicious travel, happiness of wife, bl (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 12 ✗ expenditure (PD 26.24) |
4 · From reading to claim
Technique: engine gochara: transits from the natal Moon, summed per month
October 2026: net -3 (Saturn 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 6 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)). November 2026: net -1 (Saturn 2 from the Moon, unfavourable: trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 7 from the Moon, favourable: auspicious travel, happiness of wife, blessing of a child (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 1 from the Moon, unfavourable: [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)). The engine's better month is November. Classical tables: Phaladeepika 26.18-24; vedha 26.3-8.
The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.
5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)
Stated: How often the second of two such months does better, from 2853 past cases: 47.4%.
Computed: 1352/2853 = 47.4% — every 5th trading day since 1970-01-02: a 31-day window followed by a 30-day window; how often did the second do better? · data: data-var_spx.csv (14306 rows, sha256 afd9269e0a20…) · symbols ^GSPC (Yahoo Finance)
6 · Crowd and context
Crowd: no matching crowd market
7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)
- USA 2026-09: Saturn 2 from the Moon — trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23)
- USA 2026-09: Jupiter 6 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
- USA 2026-09: Rahu 1 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
- USA 2026-10: Saturn 2 from the Moon — trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23)
- USA 2026-10: Jupiter 6 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
- USA 2026-10: Rahu 1 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
- USA 2026-11: Saturn 2 from the Moon — trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23)
- USA 2026-11: Rahu 1 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
- USA 2026-12: Saturn 2 from the Moon — trouble to wealth and children (PD 26.22-23)
- USA 2026-12: Rahu 12 from the Moon — expenditure (PD 26.24)
8 · Confidence
Stated 52% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 47.4% · edge 0.05
Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.
9 · What decides it
Right if: S&P 500: (close 2026-11-30 / close 2026-10-31) > (close 2026-10-31 / close 2026-09-30), using the last official close on or before each date.
Wrong if: Otherwise (equal counts as wrong).
10 · Integrity
Prediction line sha256: bff66faee2f4f53c28411ecd942a6480dd80bcf7f3a3dca38914bb1d25ee2d95