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Research file · P-2026-0006

The IMF's October 2026 World Economic Outlook raises India's growth projection for FY2026/27 above the July figure of 6.4%.

IMF की अक्टूबर 2026 की विश्व आर्थिक रिपोर्ट (WEO) भारत का 2026-27 का विकास अनुमान जुलाई के 6.4% से ऊपर करेगी।

Written 2026-09-29T12:20:43+00:00 · window 2026-10-05 → 2026-10-25 · method hand-read · file built 2026-09-29T12:20:44+00:00

2–3 · Charts and what the engine says

India

Chart: 1947-08-15 00:00 UTC+5.5 · India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi · grade A

Sources: charts.json

Daśā now: Mars/Rahu · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 278 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_IN.json sha256 efe541a563b0550f…

Domainfor nowagainst nownatal netlead forlead against
wealth1027The Moon, Venus and Saturn together: self-respect, riches and kindness HS 23.34Gulika in the second: plain looks, misery, meanness, vices, shamelessn BPHS 25.63
status_recognition3026Mercury, Venus and Saturn together: authority over people, wealth, ste HS 23.42[withheld: harm topic] SC 2.181-183
profession000The Moon in the third in a watery sign: beneficent works — the repair JP 15.14[withheld: harm topic] HS 11.4
general_fortune004The lord of the ninth or of the tenth stands with the lord of the fift BPHS 48.9-13Only malefics bolt the ascendant — the good that other planets promise BPHS 31.11-17
penury05-17Mars in the second: a harsh face, little learning or wealth, and depen PD 8.8
legal00-1The third lord with the ascendant lord gives real affection among sibl JP 12.26[withheld: harm topic] BJ 23.16
relocation01-2Mars's period from Gemini: foreign lands, strong lust, hatred of relat HS 11.8
MonthDaśāGochara netTransits from the Moon
2026-09Mars/Rahu/Mercury-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-10Mars/Rahu/Venus-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-11Mars/Rahu/Venus-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-12Mars/Rahu/Sun-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-01Mars/Rahu/Moon-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-02Mars/Rahu/Mars-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-03Mars/Jupiter/Jupiter-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-04Mars/Jupiter/Saturn-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)

4 · From reading to claim

Technique: transit (Jupiter) over the natal Sun, with ashtakavarga

Exalted Jupiter, India's 11th lord (gains), reaches India's natal Sun (the state) around 17 Oct, the week the WEO is due (Annual Meetings 12-18 Oct). BPHS ch. 65 (transit judged through ashtakavarga); Jupiter as karaka of wealth and growth (BPHS ch. 3). Against: Jupiter's own bindus in Cancer are only 4, and Jupiter in the 1st from the Moon is not a favoured position (Phaladeepika ch. 26).

The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.

5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)

Stated: The October WEO raised India's current-year projection above the July figure in 4 of 15 years (2014, 2016, 2023, 2025).

6 · Crowd and context

Crowd: no matching crowd market

7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)

8 · Confidence

Stated 32% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 26.7% · edge 0.05

Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.

9 · What decides it

Right if: India's FY2026/27 projection in the October 2026 WEO (Table 1.1, or the IMF's WEO database) is above 6.4%.

Wrong if: It is 6.4% or lower. Void if the October 2026 WEO is not published by 25 Oct 2026.

10 · Integrity

Prediction line sha256: f142c4c4eb8f3dac55955b7d765f4c5b27bdabea26ed2d210c27bd10342cd75b