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Research file · P-2026-0007

In the same October 2026 WEO, Canada's 2026 growth projection is not raised above the July figure of 1.1%.

उसी IMF रिपोर्ट में कनाडा का 2026 का विकास अनुमान जुलाई के 1.1% से ऊपर नहीं जाएगा।

Written 2026-09-29T12:20:43+00:00 · window 2026-10-05 → 2026-10-25 · method hand-read · file built 2026-09-29T12:20:46+00:00

2–3 · Charts and what the engine says

Canada

Chart: 1867-07-01 00:00 UTC-5.04648 · Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa · grade A

Sources: charts.json

Daśā now: Saturn/Mercury · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 249 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_CA.json sha256 9ce5c70b9842c29c…

Domainfor nowagainst nownatal netlead forlead against
wealth0027Saturn's period from its exaltation brings wisdom and wealth together; HS 15.12The lord of wealth in the sixth, eighth or twelfth: finances decline BPHS 13.1-2
status_recognition0028The lord of the fifth in the fourth: happy, blessed in the mother, wea BPHS 24.52Malefics in the bad houses are read by the texts for expulsion from yo HS 24.18
profession00-2Duryoga: labour that bears no fruit, little public standing, a self-ce PD 6.67
general_fortune006A planet stands with the lord of the fifth — its period is favourable; BPHS 48.10
penury00-17Jupiter's aspect on an angle, the Moon or Venus cancels the combinatio JP 7.80The lord of the second in the twelfth or sixth: loss of wealth JP 11.60
legal00-3[withheld: harm topic] JS 1.3.8
relocation00-1A wanderer from country to country BPHS 23.11
MonthDaśāGochara netTransits from the Moon
2026-09Saturn/Mercury/Saturn-1Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2026-11Saturn/Mercury/Saturn-3Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2026-12Saturn/Mercury/Saturn-3Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-01Saturn/Ketu/Ketu-3Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-02Saturn/Ketu/Venus-1Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-04Saturn/Ketu/Sun-1Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-05Saturn/Ketu/Moon-1Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2027-06Saturn/Ketu/Rahu+1Saturn 11 ✓ all happiness and wealth, unique honour (PD 26.22-23 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)

4 · From reading to claim

Technique: dasha, and a transit over the dasha lord

Canada runs Saturn mahadasha / Mercury antardasha / Saturn pratyantar: restraint and slowness (BPHS ch. 3, Saturn the karaka of delay). Debilitated Mars, with only 2 bindus, crosses natal Mercury (the antardasha lord and 7th lord, trade partners) on 9-10 Oct (BPHS ch. 65-66). Against: transit Saturn in Canada's lagna has 5 bindus, which softens the reading.

The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.

5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)

Stated: The October WEO did not raise Canada's current-year projection above July in 12 of 15 years.

6 · Crowd and context

Crowd: no matching crowd market

7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)

8 · Confidence

Stated 85% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 80.0% · edge 0.05

Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.

9 · What decides it

Right if: Canada's 2026 projection in the October 2026 WEO is 1.1% or lower.

Wrong if: It is above 1.1%. Void if the October 2026 WEO is not published by 25 Oct 2026.

10 · Integrity

Prediction line sha256: 6e03c7f10e87c10ec277c6c92a8b969874b29052deeddfec9219979250c92be9