← Bhavishya Lekh

Research file · P-2026-0019

2026 season: Delhi's first night below 15 °C comes after 2 November 2026.

2026 का मौसम: दिल्ली की पहली रात 15 °C से नीचे 2 नवंबर 2026 के बाद आएगी।

Written 2026-09-29T15:12:49+00:00 · window 2026-10-01 → 2026-11-03 · method data · file built 2026-09-29T15:12:54+00:00

2–3 · Charts and what the engine says

India

Chart: 1947-08-15 00:00 UTC+5.5 · India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi · grade A

Sources: charts.json

Daśā now: Mars/Rahu · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 278 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_IN.json sha256 2ec799ed90a8dee3…

Domainfor nowagainst nownatal netlead forlead against
wealth1027The Moon, Venus and Saturn together: self-respect, riches and kindness HS 23.34Gulika in the second: plain looks, misery, meanness, vices, shamelessn BPHS 25.63
status_recognition3026Mercury, Venus and Saturn together: authority over people, wealth, ste HS 23.42[withheld: harm topic] SC 2.181-183
profession000The Moon in the third in a watery sign: beneficent works — the repair JP 15.14[withheld: harm topic] HS 11.4
general_fortune004The lord of the ninth or of the tenth stands with the lord of the fift BPHS 48.9-13Only malefics bolt the ascendant — the good that other planets promise BPHS 31.11-17
penury05-17Mars in the second: a harsh face, little learning or wealth, and depen PD 8.8
legal00-1The third lord with the ascendant lord gives real affection among sibl JP 12.26[withheld: harm topic] BJ 23.16
relocation01-2Mars's period from Gemini: foreign lands, strong lust, hatred of relat HS 11.8
MonthDaśāGochara netTransits from the Moon
2026-09Mars/Rahu/Mercury-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-10Mars/Rahu/Venus-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-11Mars/Rahu/Venus-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-12Mars/Rahu/Sun-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-01Mars/Rahu/Moon-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-02Mars/Rahu/Mars-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-03Mars/Jupiter/Jupiter-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-04Mars/Jupiter/Saturn-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)

4 · From reading to claim

Technique: data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)

Median date over 1995-2024 seasons is 2 November. In the last 15 seasons it came after that date 9 times out of 15 (all seasons: 15 of 30), so the trend points later. Data only; the astrological reading of this season will be logged as a separate claim once a verified classical rule (Brihat Samhita) is in the engine.

The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.

5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)

Stated: After the median date in 50.0% of 30 seasons (1995-2024).

6 · Crowd and context

Crowd: no matching crowd market

7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)

8 · Confidence

Stated 60% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 50.0% · edge 0.1

Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.

9 · What decides it

Right if: Per NOAA GHCN-Daily, New Delhi Safdarjung station daily minimum temperature: the first such day of the 2026 season falls after 2 November 2026.

Wrong if: The first such day falls on the other side of 2 November 2026.

10 · Integrity

Prediction line sha256: 92de3016b0803a23956c7b922ee0a51632f3bb846cc076b3277547eb3a404436