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Research file · P-2026-0023

October 2026: Delhi is warmer than its usual October (monthly mean temperature vs the 1995-2024 average of 25.4 °C).

अक्टूबर 2026: दिल्ली अपने सामान्य अक्टूबर से ज़्यादा गर्म रहेगा (महीने का औसत तापमान, 1995-2024 का औसत 25.4 °C)।

Written 2026-09-30T00:09:03+00:00 · window 2026-10-01 → 2026-11-07 · method data · file built 2026-09-30T00:09:05+00:00

2–3 · Charts and what the engine says

India

Chart: 1947-08-15 00:00 UTC+5.5 · India 15 Aug 1947 00:00 IST New Delhi · grade A

Sources: charts.json

Daśā now: Mars/Rahu · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 282 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_IN.json sha256 57a22a0ac29d5ac2…

Domainfor nowagainst nownatal netlead forlead against
wealth1027The Moon, Venus and Saturn together: self-respect, riches and kindness HS 23.34Gulika in the second: plain looks, misery, meanness, vices, shamelessn BPHS 25.63
status_recognition3026Mercury, Venus and Saturn together: authority over people, wealth, ste HS 23.42[withheld: harm topic] SC 2.181-183
profession000The Moon in the third in a watery sign: beneficent works — the repair JP 15.14[withheld: harm topic] HS 11.4
general_fortune004The lord of the ninth or of the tenth stands with the lord of the fift BPHS 48.9-13Only malefics bolt the ascendant — the good that other planets promise BPHS 31.11-17
penury05-17Mars in the second: a harsh face, little learning or wealth, and depen PD 8.8
legal00-1The third lord with the ascendant lord gives real affection among sibl JP 12.26[withheld: harm topic] BJ 23.16
relocation01-2Mars's period from Gemini: foreign lands, strong lust, hatred of relat HS 11.8
MonthDaśāGochara netTransits from the Moon
2026-09Mars/Rahu/Mercury-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-10Mars/Rahu/Venus-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-11Mars/Rahu/Venus-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
2026-12Mars/Rahu/Sun-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-01Mars/Rahu/Moon-1Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-02Mars/Rahu/Mars-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-03Mars/Jupiter/Jupiter-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)
2027-04Mars/Jupiter/Saturn-3Saturn 9 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 1 ✗ departure from one's country, heavy expe (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 7 ✗ loss (PD 26.24)

4 · From reading to claim

Technique: data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)

October was above its 1995-2024 average in 17 of 31 years (1995-2025) and in 6 of the last 10, so the trend says warmer. Data only; the engine's astrological reading of the season will be logged separately when its weather rules exist.

The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.

5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)

Stated: Above the normal in 54.8% of 31 years (1995-2025).

6 · Crowd and context

Crowd: no matching crowd market

7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)

8 · Confidence

Stated 60% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 54.8% · edge 0.052

Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.

9 · What decides it

Right if: Delhi's October 2026 mean of daily mean temperature (ERA5 via the Open-Meteo archive, 28.58, 77.21) is above 25.41 °C.

Wrong if: It is at or below 25.41 °C.

10 · Integrity

Prediction line sha256: ef716e28a4b0caa398be28fee21f71eb7f52b4f45ee446402809625a2f15b670