Research file · P-2026-0029
November 2026: Toronto is not warmer than its usual November (monthly mean temperature vs the 1995-2024 average of 4.1 °C).
नवंबर 2026: टोरंटो अपने सामान्य नवंबर से ज़्यादा गर्म नहीं रहेगा (महीने का औसत तापमान, 1995-2024 का औसत 4.1 °C)।
Written 2026-10-01T09:15:52+00:00 · window 2026-11-01 → 2026-12-07 · method data · file built 2026-10-01T09:48:13+00:00
2–3 · Charts and what the engine says
Canada
Chart: 1867-07-01 00:00 UTC-5.04648 · Canada 1 Jul 1867 00:00 LMT Ottawa · grade A
Sources: charts.json
Daśā now: Saturn/Mercury · our engine, corpus 3.2.0 · 246 rules fired · raw reading engine-country_CA.json sha256 9c72220a3400b30f…
| Domain | for now | against now | natal net | lead for | lead against |
| wealth | 0 | 0 | 27 | Saturn's period from its exaltation brings wisdom and wealth together; HS 15.12 | The lord of wealth in the sixth, eighth or twelfth: finances decline BPHS 13.1-2 |
| status_recognition | 0 | 0 | 28 | The lord of the fifth in the fourth: happy, blessed in the mother, wea BPHS 24.52 | Malefics in the bad houses are read by the texts for expulsion from yo HS 24.18 |
| profession | 0 | 0 | -2 | Duryoga: labour that bears no fruit, little public standing, a self-ce PD 6.67 | |
| general_fortune | 0 | 0 | 6 | A planet stands with the lord of the fifth — its period is favourable; BPHS 48.10 | |
| penury | 0 | 0 | -17 | Jupiter's aspect on an angle, the Moon or Venus cancels the combinatio JP 7.80 | The lord of the second in the twelfth or sixth: loss of wealth JP 11.60 |
| legal | 0 | 0 | -3 | [withheld: harm topic] JS 1.3.8 | |
| relocation | 0 | 0 | -1 | A wanderer from country to country BPHS 23.11 | |
| Month | Daśā | Gochara net | Transits from the Moon | ||
| 2026-10 | Saturn/Mercury/Saturn | -1 | Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 ✗ loss (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2026-11 | Saturn/Mercury/Saturn | -3 | Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 9 ✗ loss (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2026-12 | Saturn/Mercury/Saturn | -3 | Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-01 | Saturn/Ketu/Ketu | -3 | Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 3 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-02 | Saturn/Ketu/Venus | -1 | Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-04 | Saturn/Ketu/Sun | -1 | Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-05 | Saturn/Ketu/Moon | -1 | Saturn 10 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) | ||
| 2027-06 | Saturn/Ketu/Rahu | +1 | Saturn 11 ✓ all happiness and wealth, unique honour (PD 26.22-23 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Jupiter 2 ✓ acquisition of money, domestic happiness (PD 26.18-20 (vedha: PD 26.3-8)); Rahu 8 ✗ [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24) |
4 · From reading to claim
Technique: data model only, no astrological input (the chart is not used)
November was above its 1995-2024 average in 15 of 31 years (1995-2025) and in 4 of the last 10, so the trend says not warmer. Data only; the engine's astrological reading of the season will be logged separately when its weather rules exist.
The claim follows the engine's own output as stated in chart_basis; no hand-made rule is added (engine methods v2.x-engine*). Confidence follows confidence_method in the record.
5 · Base rate (how often this happens anyway)
Stated: At or below the normal in 51.6% of 31 years (1995-2025).
6 · Crowd and context
Crowd: no matching crowd market
7 · Evidence against (from the engine itself)
- Canada 2026-10: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
- Canada 2026-10: Rahu 9 from the Moon — loss (PD 26.24)
- Canada 2026-11: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
- Canada 2026-11: Jupiter 3 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
- Canada 2026-11: Rahu 9 from the Moon — loss (PD 26.24)
- Canada 2026-12: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
- Canada 2026-12: Jupiter 3 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
- Canada 2026-12: Rahu 8 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
- Canada 2027-01: Saturn 10 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.22-23)
- Canada 2027-01: Jupiter 3 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.18-20)
- Canada 2027-01: Rahu 8 from the Moon — [withheld: harm topic] (PD 26.24)
8 · Confidence
Stated 60% · base rate (base_rate_p in the record (computed from price history before logging)) 51.6% · edge 0.084
Edge = our stated confidence minus how often this happens anyway. A claim only adds evidence for the engine if it is right more often than its base rate.
9 · What decides it
Right if: Toronto's November 2026 mean of daily mean temperature (ERA5 via the Open-Meteo archive, 43.68, -79.63) is at or below 4.12 °C.
Wrong if: It is above 4.12 °C.
10 · Integrity
Prediction line sha256: d405f8879cb733beb1a7a42c3ff7e99a032e397721f9263325c9b5bbc985ea9e